Aug 30, 2019

Huricane Dorian likely to hit Florida

The HMON, HWRF, GFS, GDPS, ECMWF, GEFS, CMCE and EPS all indicate Hurricane Dorian will landfall somewhere in central or southern Florida. Landfall is most likely Monday night of Tuesday morning (Sept 2nd or 3rd). Dorian may slow as it approaches Florida, which could prolong the impact of wind and storm surge, and increase the risk of flooding. Though it's still early, the models are now generally putting Dorian's track near West Palm Beach or Port St. Lucie.

Dorain is currently a category 2 hurricane with wind estimated at 105 mph. Dorian will be entering an area with light shear and water temperatures in the mid 80s. This should allow Dorian to strengthen to category 4.