Dec 21, 2012

North Atlantic Storm and Midwest Blizzard

On December 13th, this North Atlantic Storm dropped to 947 mb:

 According to ASCAT passes from 11-15Z Dec13th, this storm was producing gale force winds both on the coast of Spain and off the west coast of Greenland - about 2200 nautical miles away.

This winter storm has been affecting the central US over the past three days (Dec 19-21):

It has produced 20 inches of snow at 7 SW of Madison, WI, and a 100 mph wind gust at Gatlinburg, TN. EF1 tornadoes have been confirmed at Lavaca, AR, Sheridan, AR (several minor injuries reported), and Mobile, AL (several minor injuries and estimated millions of dollars of damage). Blizzard warnings (red) were issued from Colorado to Wisconsin:
The map above also shows the freeze warnings for Tucson, AZ and Bakersfield, CA, and frost advisory for San Diego, CA for the morning of December 20th. That morning the lows were 31 at Tucson, 28 at Bakersfield, 42 at San Diego Lindbergh International, 38 at San Diego Montgomery Field, and 35 at San Diego Mitscher Field. The blizzard warnings were later extended to Springfield and Decatur in Illinois:
The 982 mb low passed right over Chicago yesterday afternoon (Dec 20th):
Radar and Water vapor imagery:

Nov 14, 2012

Sandy Update and Winter Storms

The death toll from Sandy in the US and Canada has risen to 121, and damage is estimated at $50 billion. Over 8.1 million customers lost power, 2.5 million of which were in New Jersey, amounting to 62% of the state total. A total of 20,000 flights were cancelled. Aerial before and after photos of the damage Sandy caused are available here.

Nine days after Sandy made landfall, this nor'easter hit Fairhaven, MA with 65 mph wind, and Clintonville, CT with 13.5" of snow:

This same nor'easter brought cold air down across the East Coast which later prompted frost advisories (blue) for the morning of November 9th as far south Florida, including Gainesville and Ocala:
The blizzard warnings (red) in the image above in Montana are from a storm that hit Crosby, North Dakota with 18" of snow on November 10th, and prompted a freeze warning for Tucson, AZ for the morning of November 12th:

On the morning of the 12th, the low temperature at Tucson was 35, and a record low of 22 was set at Douglas, AZ.

Oct 30, 2012

Sandy Landfall

Sandy made landfall yesterday around 8 PM EDT (0Z today) near Atlantic City New Jersey. Sandy was at peak strength just three hours earlier with a pressure of 940 mb:
940 mb would normally indicate a category 3 or 4 hurricane, but because Sandy was transitioning to an extra-tropical storm, the wind field was weaker but also much larger than with a normal hurricane.

Water vapor imagery shows dry air entrainment already occurring at least two days before landfall:



Radar imagery from 14 hours before, during, and 15 hours after landfall:


RUC analysis indicated that at the time of landfall, Sandy had a thermal structure consistent with a hybrid storm - a warm core becoming surrounded by cold air:


Two days  before landfall (October 27th), tropical storm warnings (dark red) and hurricane warnings (lighter red) were active for waters off of almost the entire East Coast. Flood advisories (green) were issued for the Northeast, and Dallas was under a frost advisory:
One day before landfall, hurricane force wind warnings (brown) were issued from Cape Cod to northern Delmarva including part of Chesapeake Bay with storm warnings (purple) further south and hurricane force wind watches (slightly lighter purple) further north. High wind warnings were issued for most of the Northeast. Blizzard warnings (red) and winter storm warnings (pink) were issued for part of the Appalachians. A storm warning was issued as far west as Lake Michigan, and Chicago was (and still is) under a lakeshore flood warning.
So far Sandy has produced up to 12.55" of rain at a CoCoRaHS station at Easton, Md, 9.57" of rain at Oceana Naval Air Station, VA, and 26" of snow at both Redhouse and Garret in Maryland. The heaviest precipitation has been to the south of landfall, but the highest winds have been north of landfall. List of wind reports from HPC:

ISLIP NY                               90 MPH
2 N TOMPKINSVILLE NJ                   90 MPH
SURF CITY NJ                           89 MPH
TUCKERTON NJ                           88 MPH
1 N MONTCLAIR NJ                       88 MPH
MADISON CT                             85 MPH    
PLUM ISLAND NY                         84 MPH
CUTTYHUNK MA                           83 MPH
DENNISVILLE                            81 MPH
SANDY HOOK NJ                          81 MPH
WELLFLEET MA                           81 MPH
JFK NY                                 79 MPH
NEWARK NJ                              78 MPH
ATLANTIC CITY NJ                       77 MPH
GROTON CT                              76 MPH
HARVEY CEDARS NJ                       75 MPH

A station at Eatons Neck, NY reported a 96 mph gust at an elevation of 71 feet.

Buoy 44065, 15 nautical miles southeast of Breezy Point, NY (outside of New York Harbor), reported 32.5 foot waves at the time of landfall. Buoy 4408, 54 nautical miles southeast of Nantucket, reported 36.1 foot waves few hours earlier.

It has been reported that the storm surge at Manhattan was almost 14 feet, beating the previous record of 10 feet set in 1960 by Hurricane Donna. Storm surge data from NWS NYC:

...MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FROM POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY AND
ACCOMPANYING SURGE...

UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY GAUGES

....................MAXIMUM......ASTRONOMICAL..STORM
LOCATION..........WATER LEVEL.....TIDE LEVEL...SURGE.....TIME
FREEPORT..........10.12 FT NGVD..2.27 FT NGVD..7.85 FT...930 PM
REYNOLDS CHANNEL..10.10 FT NGVD..2.32 FT NGVD..7.78 FT...906 PM
LINDENHURST........7.73 FT NGVD..1.47 FT NGVD..6.26 FT..1006 PM
EAST ROCKAWAY.....10.80 FT NGVD..2.72 FT NGVD..8.08 FT...842 PM
JAMAICA...........11.65 FT NGVD..3.28 FT NGVD..8.37 FT...936 PM
ROCKAWAY..........11.75 FT NGVD..2.81 FT NGVD..8.94 FT...924 PM

NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE GAUGES

....................MAXIMUM......ASTRONOMICAL..STORM
LOCATION..........WATER LEVEL.....TIDE LEVEL...SURGE.....TIME
BERGEN POINT......14.60 FT MLLW..5.15 FT MLLW..9.45 FT...924 PM
BATTERY...........13.88 FT MLLW..4.65 FT MLLW..9.23 FT...924 PM
KINGS POINT.......14.38 FT MLLW..5.60 FT MLLW..8.78 FT..1000 PM
BRIDGEPORT........13.26 FT MLLW..5.31 FT MLLW..7.95 FT..1006 PM
NEW HAVEN.........12.30 FT MLLW..3.97 FT MLLW..8.33 FT...930 PM
NEW LONDON.........8.04 FT MLLW..2.08 FT MLLW..5.96 FT...812 PM
MONTAUK............7.12 FT MLLW..1.88 FT MLLW..5.24 FT...812 PM


NGVD = NATIONAL GEODETIC VERTICAL DATUM OF 1929

MLLW = MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

Wall Street was shut down for two days. The New York subway system which was flooded, has also been shut down for two days now. A fire at Breezy Point, NY has destroyed at least 80 homes. At least 33 people were killed in 7 states, 7.5 million people lost power, and 16,000 flights were cancelled. Websites for the National Weather Service's eastern region are down due to a cut fiber optic line.

Oct 26, 2012

More October Snow and Hurricane Sandy

On October 13th, freeze warnings (light blue) were in effect across most of the northeast, and there was a frost advisory (blue) for Washington DC:
The low temperature that morning at Dulles Airport was 30.

On the night of October 24 (Wednesday), this storm began producing significant snowfall in Nebraska:

Up to 4" fell near North Platte and Broken Bow, and CoCoRaHS observers reported 6" in the panhandle near Sidney. Another system put down more snow last night across Wyoming and Colorado, with 8" being reported by a CoCoRaHS observer 17 miles northwest of Cheyenne. Snow is being reported currently in Garden City, KS.

Hurricane Sandy is currently moving northward through the Bahamas toward waters 1-2 degrees C above normal:

Buoy 41001 is 150 nautical miles east of Cape Hatteras and near the center of the forecast track, and is reporting a water temperature of 79.2 F. Sandy is forecast to continue moving to the north until Sunday or Monday (the 28th or 29th) when a perfectly timed shortwave trough digging into the Mid Atlantic will turn it to the northwest or even west and into the East Coast. Landfall appears most likely to be at Delmarva or New Jersey. Because of the strong westerly component to the track, areas to the north of landfall will have an unusually high impact from wind and storm surge.

Oct 7, 2012

October Snow and Frost

Snow began falling in the Northern Rockies in Montana on October 2nd. By the morning of October 4th, a significant snowstorm had developed in the Northern Plains:


Up to 14 inches fell in northern Minnesota (10 nnw Badger), and 3.5 inches fell in Grand Forks. On October 7th (today), cold air surging southward in the wake of the snowstorm prompted a frost advisory (blue) for Oklahoma City, and a hard freeze warning (dark blue) for Dodge City, where this morning's low was 29:
Freeze warnings are in light blue, and a gale warning is active for Lake Michigan. For tonight, frost advisories are in effect as far south as Abilene, TX:

Sep 27, 2012

Early Frost and Gulf of Alaska Storm

On September 19th, a frost advisory (blue) was issued down to the southeast corner of Wisconsin. It was 34 that morning at Waukegan, IL, just south of the state line along Lake Michigan. A gale warning was active for Lake Michigan.
On September 23rd, freeze warnings (light blue) were issued for much of the Upper Midwest including northwest Illinois. Frost advisories extended into southern Indiana:
The next day, the frost advisories went into Kentucky and the Appalachian Mountains in North Carolina including Asheville.
 At 18Z (1 PM CDT) today (September 26th), this Gulf of Alaska storm dropped to 950 mb:



The storm is located in the left exit region of a 120 knot mid level jet streak:
This storm's pressure fell by 26 mb in just 12 hours (18 mb in the first 6):

Buoy 46001, 175 nautical miles southeast of Kodiak, AK recently reported waves up to 33.1 feet, and wind gusting to 52.4 knots.